Драйверы И Тормозы Развития Ядерной Энергетики[Drivers and brakes on the development of nuclear energy]

Many countries, for one reason or another, suffer from a shortage of fossil fuels, which have been the main source of primary energy in the world for more than 200 years. As early as the 1960s, nuclear power plants with lower production costs than fossil fuel condensing power plants began to be built. This created a widespread demand for nuclear power plants in many not only developed but also developing countries. However, the spread of nuclear power as a primary energy source has been very uneven. Periods of accelerated growth of nuclear power alternate with periods of deceleration and even stagnation. A wide palette of factors influencing both the growth of nuclear power (energy balance deficit, countries' desire for energy independence and reduction of energy supply costs, threat of global warming on Earth, depletion of fossil fuel resources, use of economies of scale, etc.) and its inhibition (assessment of the acceptability of nuclear energy as a primary energy source, lack of knowledge about the development of nuclear reactions in nuclear reactors, complexity of human and technical systems, serious a It is shown that a realistic, objective and comprehensive assessment of the whole palette of drivers and limiting factors of nuclear power growth requires an interdisciplinary approach and contributes to improving the quality of forecasting the development of nuclear power and society as a whole.