Транснациональные Цепочки Поставок И Их Роль В Формировании Добавленной Стоимости Региона (На Примере Республики Татарстан)[Transnational supply chains and their role in creating value added in the region (using the example of the Republic of Tatarstan)]

Importance The high level of dependence of regional economic systems on imports of goods and services forms a whole set of risks of their competitive development. This is especially pronounced through the prism of value added analysis, which determines the effectiveness of the formation of the regional economy, including through its structural transformations. An equally important role is played by the study of the prospects for value added change in the context of individual sectors of the economy today in the context of severe external pressure, the projection of which is the restriction of imports, the transformation of cross-border supply chains and, as a result, the increase in risks of sustainable economic growth. Relying on the presented aspects, the subject of the study is economic relations regarding the possible prospects for the formation of value added in the sectors of the economy of the Republic of Tatarstan in the context of the correction of cross-border foreign economic relations. Objectives Study of the impact of structural transformations in the economy, including the correction of imported supplies, on the formation of value added and gross regional product growth. Method Based on the analysis of the most vulnerable, in terms of dependence on imports, types of economic activity of the region, an assessment and scenario forecasting of the sectoral dynamics of value added and gross regional product as a whole in the context of perturbations of foreign economic supply chains is carried out. The analysis was carried out in the cross-section of ten product groups using the statistical study method. Results It was established that as part of the reduction in the supply of imported products, the decrease in added value in the regional economy may range from 7.5% (inertial scenario) to 47.1% in the event of a negative scenario involving a large-scale drop in import supplies to the sectors of the economy under study. The work was carried out at the expense of a subsidy allocated to Kazan Federal University for the fulfillment of the state task in the field of scientific activity under the project No. FZSM - 2023-0017 "The economics of import substitution in the region in the context of the transformation of supply chains and deglobalization".