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A Central Limit Theorem and Its Applications to Multicolor Randomly Reinforced Urns

Author

Listed:
  • Patrizia Berti

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)

  • Irene Crimaldi

    (Università di Bologna)

  • Luca Pratelli

    (Accademia Navale di Livorno)

  • Pietro Rigo

    (Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods, University of Pavia)

Abstract

Let (Xn) be a sequence of integrable real random variables, adapted to a filtration (Gn). Define: Cn = n^(1/2) {1/n SUM(k=1:n) Xk - E(Xn+1 | Gn) } and Dn = n^(1/2){ E(Xn+1 | Gn)-Z } where Z is the a.s. limit of E(Xn+1 | Gn) (assumed to exist). Conditions for (Cn,Dn) --> N(0,U) × N(0,V) stably are given, where U, V are certain random variables. In particular, under such conditions, one obtains n^(1/2) { 1/n SUM(k=1:n) Xk - Z } = Cn + Dn --> N(0,U+V) stably. This CLT has natural applications to Bayesian statistics and urn problems. The latter are investigated, by paying special attention to multicolor randomly reinforced generalized Polya urns.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrizia Berti & Irene Crimaldi & Luca Pratelli & Pietro Rigo, 2010. "A Central Limit Theorem and Its Applications to Multicolor Randomly Reinforced Urns," Quaderni di Dipartimento 112, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
  • Handle: RePEc:pav:wpaper:112
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrizia Berti & Luca Pratelli & Pietro Rigo, 2010. "Limit Theorems for Empirical Processes Based on Dependent Data," Quaderni di Dipartimento 132, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    2. Crimaldi, Irene & Louis, Pierre-Yves & Minelli, Ida G., 2022. "An urn model with random multiple drawing and random addition," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 270-299.

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