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Inventories and Asymmetric Business Cycle Fluctuations in the UK

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Author Info
Sensier, M.

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Abstract

This paper shows that the behaviour of inventories is not symmetrical and that their modelling requires more than just a linear regression. Models of inventory behaviour are described and symmetric and non-symmetric-error-correction models are formulated which divide the changes in production into positive and negative components. Deepness and steepness tests are calculated for inventories of the disaggregate manufacturing sectors in the UK for evidence of the asymmetry. The resultsof the symmetric and the asymmetric error-correction models are presented and compared by a series of tests. Step response functions of the non-symmetric error-correction models are reported to show the full extent of this asymmetry.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Oxford, Department of Economics in its series Economics Series Working Papers with number 99192.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 1997
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Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:99192

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Related research
Keywords: ECONOMETRICS

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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  1. Alan E. H. Speight & Piers Thompson, 2006. "Is investment time irreversible? Some empirical evidence for disaggregated UK manufacturing data," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(19), pages 2265-2275, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. D. Doorn, 2006. "Consequences of Hodrick--Prescott filtering for parameter estimation in a structural model of inventory behaviour," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(16), pages 1863-1875, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics 9809017, EconWPA, revised 30 Sep 1998. [Downloadable!]
  4. David G. Bivin, 2005. "Gauging the performance of the linear-quadratic inventory model," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(11), pages 1215-1231, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Randal Verbrugge Randal Verbrugge, 1997. "Investigating Cyclical Asymmetries," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 2(1), pages 15-22. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Anindya BANERJEE & Paul MIZEN, 2003. "A Re-interpretation of the Linear-Quadratic Model When Inventories and Sales are Polynomially Cointegrated," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/11, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
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