Inventories and Asymmetric Business Cycle Fluctuations in the UK
AbstractThis paper shows that the behaviour of inventories is not symmetrical and that their modelling requires more than just a linear regression. Models of inventory behaviour are described and symmetric and non-symmetric-error-correction models are formulated which divide the changes in production into positive and negative components. Deepness and steepness tests are calculated for inventories of the disaggregate manufacturing sectors in the UK for evidence of the asymmetry. The resultsof the symmetric and the asymmetric error-correction models are presented and compared by a series of tests. Step response functions of the non-symmetric error-correction models are reported to show the full extent of this asymmetry.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Oxford, Department of Economics in its series Economics Series Working Papers with number 99192.
Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
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- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
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- Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics 9809017, EconWPA, revised 30 Sep 1998.
- David Bivin, 2005. "Gauging the performance of the linear-quadratic inventory model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(11), pages 1215-1231.
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