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Analysis of the Effects of COVID-19 Outbreak on Population Distribution within Cities

Author

Listed:
  • Toru Takemoto

    (College of Law, Nihon University)

  • Nobuo Akai

    (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University)

  • Ryuji Kutsuzawa

    (Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism)

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak could have a negative impact on population change within cities. The impact will be greater in the centers of cities, in particular, given that they present greater chances of person-to-person contact. Consequently, population distribution will also change within the cities. Therefore, this paper, using population data in mesh-based regions divided by a certain width of latitude and longitude, analyzes the effect of COVID-19 on the population distribution within cities. The analysis is based on a fixed effect model using panel data. The analysis showed that COVID-19 had a negative impact on the change of population in meshed-based regions, and that the impact decreased with increasing distance from the centers of cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Toru Takemoto & Nobuo Akai & Ryuji Kutsuzawa, 2022. "Analysis of the Effects of COVID-19 Outbreak on Population Distribution within Cities," OSIPP Discussion Paper 22J003, Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University.
    • Handle: RePEc:osp:wpaper:22j003
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    File URL: http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2022/DP2022J003.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spatial Distribution of the Population; Mesh-Based Region; Standard Distance; COVID-19; Fixed Effect Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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