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Rush hour-and-a-half: traffic is spreading out post-lockdown

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  • Bhagat-Conway, Matthew Wigginton
  • Zhang, Sam

Abstract

Urban roadways are used inefficiently, with capacity scaled to meet peak demands and underutilization at off-peak hours. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted the transportation system, and one possible outcome is a spreading of rush hour. We use six years of highway sensor data from the California state highway system to evaluate that possibility, and find that peaks are spreading in the post-lockdown period, the spreading is statistically significant, and has been relatively stable since summer 2021. Spreading of peak travel periods calls into question highway expansion plans based on pre-pandemic travel forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhagat-Conway, Matthew Wigginton & Zhang, Sam, 2022. "Rush hour-and-a-half: traffic is spreading out post-lockdown," OSF Preprints 6khsj, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:6khsj
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/6khsj
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