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Analyse de l’impact économique des actes de terrorisme : Avancées et conclusions méthodologiques récentes

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OCDE
Abstract

La sécurité nationale relève de la responsabilité fondamentale des États, mais elle est aussi de caractère intangible. Que peut apporter une analyse économique à cet égard? Dans ce domaine, l’analyse coûts-avantages a rarement été utilisée parce que les avantages sont ambigus et assimilables à des biens publics. Notre groupe, au Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism (CREATE) de l’Université de Californie du Sud, s’est attaché à approfondir et appliquer l’analyse d’impact économique pour décrire les pertes prévisibles dans diverses hypothèses d’attentats terroristes. L’innovation, dans nos travaux, tient à la dimension territoriale que nous avons ajoutée à des modèles intersectoriels opérationnels. Dans un souci de plausibilité, les scénarios d’attentats terroristes doivent comporter des précisions géographiques.

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File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/228708543848
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Paper provided by OECD, International Transport Forum in its series OECD/ITF Joint Transport Research Centre Discussion Papers with number 2008/22.

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Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:oec:itfaaa:2008/22-fr

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