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Turkey's Improving Integration with the Global Capital Market: Impacts on Risk Premia and Capital Costs

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  • Rauf Gönenç
  • Saygin Sahinöz
  • Ozge Tuncel

Abstract

Turkey has considerably improved its terms of access to the global capital market. Progress in macroeconomic fundamentals has enhanced credibility and reduced risk premia and capital costs. This has had broad effects on capital supply conditions in the entire economy. Real interest rates have declined, and funds of lengthened maturity are becoming available for a broader range of borrowers and fund users, offering a basis for broader–based long–term growth. Estimations in the paper suggest that reinforcing fiscal institutions, price stability, governance quality, political stability and trade and growth performance would help Turkey to continue to improve its integration with the international capital market and reduce durably its capital costs. This paper relates to the 2010 OECD Economic Review of Turkey (www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/turkey). L'Intégration croissante de la Turquie avec le marché global des capitaux : Effets sur les primes de risque et coût du capital La Turquie a considérablement amélioré ses conditions d'accès au marché global des capitaux. Des progrès dans les fondamentaux macroéconomiques ont renforcé la crédibilité et réduit les primes de risque et le coût du capital. Cela a eu des conséquences considérables sur les conditions de financement de l'économie tout entière. Les taux d'intérêt réels ont diminué, et des fonds à plus longue maturité deviennent disponibles pour un plus large éventail d'utilisateurs de fonds, offrant une base plus large pour la croissance à long terme. Les estimations dans le document suggèrent que le renforcement des institutions budgétaires, de la stabilité des prix, de la qualité de la gouvernance, de la stabilité politique et de la performance du commerce extérieur et de la croissance aiderait la Turquie à continuer à améliorer son intégration avec le marché global des capitaux et à réduire durablement ses coûts en capital. Ce document se rapporte à l’Étude économique de Turquie de l’OCDE, 2010, (www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/turkey).

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Paper provided by OECD Publishing in its series OECD Economics Department Working Papers with number 812.

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Date of creation: 10 Nov 2010
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Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:812-en

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Keywords: credit rating; risk premia; interest rate; capital markets; fiscal institution; capital costs; economic growth; open economy; marchés de capitaux; coût du capital; économie ouverte; notation de crédit; institution budgétaire; taux d'intérêt; croissance économique; prime de risque;

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