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The Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Real Exchange Rates in South America, 1990-2002

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Author Info
Anne-Laure Baldi
Nanno Mulder ()

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Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of exchange rate regimes on real exchange rates, as defined by the relative price of nontradables to tradables in Argentina, Brazil, Chile (ABC) and Mexico from 1990 to 2002. The real exchange rate is determined in the long-run by the Balassa-Samuelson effect, but in the medium run also by government expenditure and terms of trade. Another determinant is fixed exchange rate regimes, which force exporters to adjust their local price of tradables. Moreover, fixed regimes attract portfolio inflows that increase demand and prices for nontradables. The econometric results of the paper confirm the impact of exchange rate regimes on relative prices in all countries except Chile, which maintained exchange rate flexibly and adopted capital controls ...

L'impact des régimes de change sur le taux de change réel en Amérique latine, 1990-2002

Cet article analyse l'impact des régimes de change sur le taux de change réel- défini comme le prix relatif des biens du secteur abrité et des biens du secteur exposé- en Argentine, Brésil, Chili (ABC) et au Mexique de 1990 à 2002. Le taux de change réel est déterminé dans le long terme par l'effet Balassa- Samuelson et à moyen terme par les dépenses du gouvernement et les termes de l'échange. Les régimes de change fixes peuvent constituer un nouveau déterminant car ils forcent les exportateurs à geler le prix local des biens échangeables. Simultanément ils attirent des flux de portefeuille qui exercent une pression à la hausse sur la demande et donc les prix des biens abrités. Les résultats économétriques de l'article confirment l'impact des régimes de change sur les prix relatifs de tous les pays sauf le Chili qui a aintenu une flexibilité de change et imposé des contrôles de capitaux ...

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Paper provided by OECD Economics Department in its series OECD Economics Department Working Papers with number 396.

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Date of creation: 30 Jun 2004
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Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:396-en

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Related research
Keywords: exchange rate policy real exchange rates Latin America politique de change Amérique latine taux de change réel

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Growth and Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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