Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

• Giuseppe Nicoletti
• Lucrezia Reichlin

This paper uses a multivariate generalisation of the Beveridge and Nelson methodology to model trends and cycles of business-sector labour productivity in the major OECD countries. The method implies that the trend is the long-term forecast of productivity, given all available information; the cycle is thus interpreted as the total excess growth that one would forecast beyond "normal" rates of productivity (see Evans and Reichlin, 1992). Multivariate trends in productivity were estimated including series that Granger-cause and, possibly, are cointegrated with productivity. The corresponding cycles were compared with those generated by the Hodrick-Prescott filter and with the business-cycle dating of the OECD. The stability and predictive properties of the Beveridge-Nelson and Hodrick-Prescott trends were compared. Finally, the estimated productivity gaps were used as proxies for capacity utilisation in econometric models of price formation in order to assess their empirical ...

Cette tude utilise une gnralisation au cas multivari de la mthodologie propose par Beveridge et Nelson pour modliser les tendances de la productivit du travail dans le secteur des entreprises des principaux pays de l'OCDE. Selon cette mthode, la tendance est la prvision de long terme de la productivit, tant donn l'information disponible chaque priode. Il s'ensuit que le cycle est interprt comme la somme des taux de croissance attendus de la productivit qui excdent le taux de croissance "normal" (Evans et Reichlin, 1992). Les tendances multivaries de la productivit ont t estimes en incluant dans le modle des sries qui causent la productivit, au sens de Granger, et qui sont, si possible, co-intgres avec celle-ci. Les cycles correspondants ont t compars ceux estims selon la mthodologie de Hodrick et Prescott ainsi qu' la priodisation des cycles propose par l'OCDE. Une comparaison a t aussi effectue entre la stabilit et les proprits de ...

Download Info

To download:

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

Publisher Info

Paper provided by OECD, Economics Department in its series OECD Economics Department Working Papers with number 129.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: Apr 1993
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:129-en

Contact details of provider:
Postal: 2 rue Andre Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16
Email:
Web page: http://www.oecd.org
More information through EDIRC

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: ().

Related research

Keywords:

Other versions of this item:

• Paper
  • Nicoletti, Giuseppe & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1993. "Trends and Cycles in Labour Productivity in the Major OECD Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 808, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

Did you know? A few items listed on IDEAS are over 2000 years old!

This page was last updated on 2009-11-23.