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Boosting Growth and Reducing Informality in Mexico

Author

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  • Sean Dougherty

    (OECD)

Abstract

Mexico has embarked on a bold package of structural reforms that will help it to break away from three decades of slow growth and low productivity. Major structural measures have been legislated to improve competition, education, energy, the financial sector, labour, infrastructure and the tax system, among many, and implementation has started in earnest. If fully implemented, these reforms could increase annual trend per capita GDP growth by as much as one percentage point over the next ten years, with the energy reforms having the most front-loaded effects. Beyond this, a second wave could go further to tackle other structural bottlenecks. These challenges include reducing stringent regulation – particularly at the local level – and addressing corruption and weak enforcement of legal rights. The justice system is often slow and inefficient. And in the agricultural sector, strict land use restrictions and the structure of subsidies promote inefficiency. Moving even closer towards OECD best practices could increase potential growth by another percentage point annually. Stimuler la croissance et réduire l'informalité au Mexique Le Mexique est engagé dans un ensemble audacieux de réformes structurelles qui lui permettront de rompre avec trois décennies de croissance lente et une faible productivité. Des mesures structurelles majeures ont été légiférées pour améliorer la concurrence, l'éducation, l'énergie, le secteur financier, le travail, les infrastructures et le système fiscal, parmi d'autres, et la mise en oeuvre a commencé pour de bon. Si elles sont pleinement mises en oeuvre, ces réformes pourraient augmenter la tendance annuelle de la croissance du PIB par habitant de près d'un point de pourcentage au cours des dix prochaines années, avec les réformes de l'énergie ayant les effets les plus importants. Au-delà, une deuxième vague pourrait aller plus loin pour s'attaquer à d'autres goulots d'étranglement structurels. Ces défis comprennent la réglementation stricte - en particulier au niveau local - et la lutte contre la corruption et la faible application des droits juridiques. Le système de justice est souvent lent et inefficace. Et dans le secteur agricole, des restrictions strictes d'utilisation des terres et la structure de subventions favorisent inefficacité. Aller encore plus vers les meilleures pratiques de l'OCDE pourrait augmenter la croissance potentielle d'un autre point de pourcentage par an.

Suggested Citation

  • Sean Dougherty, 2015. "Boosting Growth and Reducing Informality in Mexico," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1188, OECD Publishing.
  • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:1188-en
    DOI: 10.1787/5js4w28dnn28-en
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Francisco Corona & Graciela González-Farías & Pedro Orraca, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-35, December.
    2. Sean M. Dougherty & Octavio R. Escobar, 2016. "Could Mexico become the new ‘China’? Policy drivers of competitiveness and productivity," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 13(2), pages 169-198, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cadre juridique; croissance économique; economic growth; legal institutions; politiques réglementaires; productivity; productivité; regulatory policies; réforme structurelle; structural reforms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • H4 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods
    • K4 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior
    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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