A `Timeless Perspective' on Optimality in Forward-Looking Rational Expectations Models

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A `Timeless Perspective' on Optimality in Forward-Looking Rational Expectations Models

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Andrew P. Blake

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Andrew Peter Blake

Abstract

This paper discusses the `timeless perspective' optimisation concept with reference to a much-studied forward-looking rational expectations model. We establish that this policy, as usually described, is not always superior to a time consistent alternative on the basis of the stochastic equilibrium. We derive an alternative `timelessly optimal' rule which is globally optimal with respect to the unconditional variance and is therefore more supportable as a time consistent equilibrium.

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Paper provided by National Institute of Economic and Social Research in its series NIESR Discussion Papers with number 188.

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Date of creation: Oct 2001
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Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:188

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Paper
- Blake, Andrew P., 2002. "A 'Timeless Perspective' on Optimality in Forward-Looking Rational Expectations Models," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 30, Royal Economic Society. [Downloadable!]

Cited by:
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- Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting," NBER Working Papers 9747, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Svensson, Lars E O & Woodford, Michael, 2004. "Implementing Optimal Policy Through Inflation-Forecast Targeting," CEPR Discussion Papers 4229, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kirsanova, Tatiana & Vines, David & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 2006. "Inflation Bias with Dynamic Phillips Curves," CEPR Discussion Papers 5534, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jagjit Chadha & Luisa Corrado, 2006. "Sunspots and Monetary Policy," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 06-06, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
Benigno, Pierpaolo & Woodford, Michael, 2006. "Linear-Quadratic Approximation of Optimal Policy Problems," CEPR Discussion Papers 5964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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- Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2008. "Linear-Quadratic Approximation of Optimal Policy Problems," Discussion Papers 0809-01, Columbia University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006. " Optimal Time Consistent Monetary Policy," CDMA Working Paper Series 0606, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]
Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2005. " Optimal Monetary Policy Rules from a Timeless Perspective," CDMA Working Paper Series 0510, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
Dennis, Richard & Söderström, Ulf, 2002. "How Important Is Precommitment for Monetary Policy?," Working Paper Series 139, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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- Dennis, Richard & Soderstrom, Ulf, 2006. "How Important Is Precommitment for Monetary Policy?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(4), pages 847-872, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2007. " Unconditionally Optimal Monetary Policy," CDMA Working Paper Series 0721, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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Niklas J. Westelius, 2006. "Imperfect Transparency and Shifts in the Central Bank's Output Gap Target," Hunter College Department of Economics Working Papers 415, Hunter College: Department of Economics, revised 2008. [Downloadable!]
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Richard Dennis, 2009. "Timeless Perspective Policymaking: When is Discretion Superior?," NCER Working Paper Series 38, National Centre for Econometric Research. [Downloadable!]
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Christian Jensen & Bennett C. McCallum, 2002. "The Non-Optimality of Proposed Monetary Policy Rules Under Timeless-Perspective Commitment," NBER Working Papers 8882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Jensen, Christian & McCallum, Bennett T., 2002. "The non-optimality of proposed monetary policy rules under timeless perspective commitment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 163-168, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Stephan Sauer, 2007. "Discretion rather than rules? When is discretionary policy-making better than the timeless perspective?," Working Paper Series 717, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Loisel, O., 2005. "Central Bank Reputation in a Forward-Looking Model," Documents de Travail 127, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
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- Loisel, Olivier, 2008. "Central bank reputation in a forward-looking model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 3718-3742, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Juan Paez-Farrell, 2009. "Timeless perspective vs discretionary policymaking when the degree of inflation persistence is unknown," Discussion Paper Series 2009_14, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Sep 2009. [Downloadable!]
Michal Horvath, 2006. " How to Deal with Increased Public Debt," CDMA Working Paper Series 0607, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Jun 2009. [Downloadable!]
Jagjit S. Chadha & Luisa Corrado, 2006. " On the Determinacy of Monetary Policy under Expectational Errors," CDMA Working Paper Series 0603, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Apr 2007. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Chadha, J.S. & Corrado, L., 2007. "On the Determinacy of Monetary Policy under Expectational Errors," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0722, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

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