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A `Timeless Perspective' on Optimality in Forward-Looking Rational Expectations Models

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Andrew P. Blake

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Abstract

This paper discusses the `timeless perspective' optimisation concept with reference to a much-studied forward-looking rational expectations model. We establish that this policy, as usually described, is not always superior to a time consistent alternative on the basis of the stochastic equilibrium. We derive an alternative `timelessly optimal' rule which is globally optimal with respect to the unconditional variance and is therefore more supportable as a time consistent equilibrium.

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Paper provided by National Institute of Economic and Social Research in its series NIESR Discussion Papers with number 188.

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Date of creation: Oct 2001
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Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:188

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  1. Cohen, Daniel & Michel, Philippe, 1988. "How Should Control Theory Be Used to Calculate a Time-Consistent Government Policy?," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2), pages 263-74, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Richard Dennis & Ulf Soderstrom, 2002. "How important is precommitment for monetary policy?," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 2002-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Niklas J. Westelius, 2006. "Imperfect Transparency and Shifts in the Central Bank's Output Gap Target," Hunter College Department of Economics Working Papers 415, Hunter College: Department of Economics, revised 2008. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jagjit Chadha & Luisa Corrado, 2006. "Sunspots and Monetary Policy," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 06-06, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kirsanova, Tatiana & Vines, David & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 2006. "Inflation Bias with Dynamic Phillips Curves," CEPR Discussion Papers 5534, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Woodford, Michael, 2006. "Linear-Quadratic Approximation of Optimal Policy Problems," CEPR Discussion Papers 5964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Christian Jensen & Bennett C. McCallum, 2002. "The Non-Optimality of Proposed Monetary Policy Rules Under Timeless-Perspective Commitment," NBER Working Papers 8882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006. " Optimal Time Consistent Monetary Policy," CDMA Working Paper Series 0606, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]
  8. Stephan Sauer, 2007. "Discretion rather than rules? When is discretionary policy-making better than the timeless perspective?," Working Paper Series 717, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  9. Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2005. " Optimal Monetary Policy Rules from a Timeless Perspective," CDMA Working Paper Series 0510, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  10. Michal Horvath, 2006. " Monetary-Fiscal Interactions when Public Debt is Stationary," CDMA Working Paper Series 0607, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Mar 2007. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jagjit S. Chadha & Luisa Corrado, 2006. " On the Determinacy of Monetary Policy under Expectational Errors," CDMA Working Paper Series 0603, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Apr 2007. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2007. " Unconditionally Optimal Monetary Policy," CDMA Working Paper Series 0721, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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