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UK Interregional Trade Estimation: Estimates of trade between Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England

Author

Listed:
  • Alastair Greig
  • Mairi Spowage
  • Graeme Roy

Abstract

In the UK, there is major economic change such as Brexit on the horizon. The impact of such change is likely to vary across UK regions. There is also a growing demand for improved regional economic analysis to help inform devolution and City Deal-type policymaking. Despite these concerns, there are no comprehensive national statistics on interregional trade in the UK. This paper fills this gap, proposing a framework for estimating interregional trade between the devolved nations of the UK: England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. We explain where gaps exist in the current UK data landscape and suggests various ways in which these could be addressed. We then apply our framework using currently available data, presenting initial results for trade between the 4 nations of the UK in 2015. Recommendations for future work are also presented, including the need to evaluate current methods for collecting trade information within the UK.

Suggested Citation

  • Alastair Greig & Mairi Spowage & Graeme Roy, 2020. "UK Interregional Trade Estimation: Estimates of trade between Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-09, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  • Handle: RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2020-09
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alastair Greig & Katerina Lisenkova & Graeme Roy, 2018. "A Data Map of Existing UK Data Sources Related to Regional Trade," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-03, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    2. Tuomas Louhela, 2006. "Estimation of Interregional Trade for Finnish Regions in 1996 and 2002 - Freight Flow and Gravity Approaches," ERSA conference papers ersa06p114, European Regional Science Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Alastair Greig & Ziping Wu, 2021. "The impacts of a reduction in British meat and dairy consumption on Northern Ireland’s agri-food sector," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 36(2), pages 133-148, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interregional Trade Flows; Regional Supply Use Tables; Trade Surveys; Origin Destination Data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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