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Factors affecting the realisation of child-bearing intentions in four European countries

Author

Listed:
  • Zsolt Spéder
  • Balázs Kapitány

    (Hungarian Demographic Research Institute)

Abstract

This study investigates the realisation of time-related positive fertility intentions using a comparative approach. Four European countries of medium size are compared, all with rather different fertility regimes: the Netherlands and Switzerland (Western), and Hungary and Bulgaria (Post-communist). Using four harmonised longitudinal panel surveys, it is possible to construct a typology of fertility intentions and outcomes, and not only to identify common patterns but also different influencing factors in each country. By employing multinominal logistic regressions, we uncover factors influencing postponement, abandonment and realisation of childbearing. In all four countries, age, partnership status and education appear to influence fertility intentions in the same ways. However, the effects of some of these factors do differ in the four countries that we focus on.

Suggested Citation

  • Zsolt Spéder & Balázs Kapitány, 2011. "Factors affecting the realisation of child-bearing intentions in four European countries," Working Papers on Population, Family and Welfare 14, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:nki:wpaper:14
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    File URL: http://demografia.hu/en/publicationsonline/index.php/workingpapers/issue/view/68
    File Function: First version, 2011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fertility; fertility intention; childbearing intentions; fertility behaviour; fertility dynamics; postponement; Europe; comparison; panel survey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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