Measuring the Impact of Behavioural Traders in the Market for Closed-end Country Funds from 2002 to 2009
AbstractThis work investigates whether traders’ state dependant expectations biases can account for anomalous country fund price movements for a seven year period spanning the 2007-08 banking crises. We provide a multiple agent asset-pricing model that includes both rational traders and traders who display biases in expectations formation following market states with large amounts of fundamental value variance or CNN financial news. Importantly, traders’ biased behavior is based on evidence of state-dependant over- or under-reaction biases observed in asset price forecasting experiments. Closed-form solutions from the multi-agent pricing model predict a multiple driver property of fund prices. Empirical tests for these drivers’ influence in field data finds that a significant amount of out-of-sample country fund discount variance can be explained by dummies representing the occurrence of behavioral bias trigger states.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National University of Ireland Galway, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0148.
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision: 2009
Contact details of provider:
Postal: St. Anthony's College, Newcastle Road, Galway
Phone: +353-91 524411 ext. 2501
Fax: +353-91 524130
Web page: http://economics.nuigalway.ie
More information through EDIRC
Algorithmic Trading; MACD;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
You can help add them by filling out this form.
reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Srinivas Raghavendra).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.