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Illiquid Lemon Markets and the Macroeconomy

Author

Listed:
  • Aimé Bierdel
  • Andres Drenik
  • Juan Herreño
  • Pablo Ottonello

Abstract

We study the macroeconomic implications of asymmetric information in capital markets. We build a quantitative capital-accumulation model in which capital is traded in illiquid markets, with sellers having more information about capital quality than buyers. Asymmetric information distorts the terms of trade for sellers of high-quality capital, who list higher prices and are willing to accept lower trading probabilities to signal their type. Led by the model's predictions, we measure the distortions from asymmetric information by studying the relationship between listed prices and trading probabilities in a unique dataset of individual capital units listed for trade. By combining the empirical measurement with the model, we show that information asymmetries can play a quantitatively large role during economic crises when the degree of asymmetric information deteriorates.

Suggested Citation

  • Aimé Bierdel & Andres Drenik & Juan Herreño & Pablo Ottonello, 2023. "Illiquid Lemon Markets and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 31711, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31711
    Note: AP EFG IFM ME
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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