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Who Benefits from Analyst “Top Picks”?

Author

Listed:
  • Justin Birru
  • Sinan Gokkaya
  • Xi Liu
  • René M. Stulz

Abstract

Following the Global Settlement, analysts extensively use a top pick designation to highlight their highest conviction best ideas. Such a designation enables analysts to provide greater granularity of information, but it can potentially be influenced by conflicts of interest. Examining a comprehensive sample of top picks, we find, even though top picks are more likely to be investment banking clients, they have greater investment value, attract greater media and investor attention, and lead to more trading than buy recommendations. Bad top picks are more likely to be influenced by strategic objectives and have adverse consequences for analysts. Institutions, but not retail investors, discern between good and bad top picks.

Suggested Citation

  • Justin Birru & Sinan Gokkaya & Xi Liu & René M. Stulz, 2020. "Who Benefits from Analyst “Top Picks”?," NBER Working Papers 28038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28038
    Note: AP CF
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    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w28038.pdf
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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