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What Do Trade Negotiators Negotiate About? Empirical Evidence from the World Trade Organization

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Kyle Bagwell
Robert W. Staiger

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Abstract

What do trade negotiators negotiate about? There are two distinct theoretical approaches in the economics literature that offer an answer to this question: the terms-of-trade theory and the commitment theory. The terms-of-trade theory holds that trade agreements are useful to governments as a means of helping them escape from a terms-of-trade-driven Prisoners' Dilemma. The commitment theory holds that trade agreements are useful to governments as a means of helping them make commitments to the private sector. These theories are not mutually exclusive, but there is little direct evidence on the empirical relevance of either. We attempt to investigate empirically the purpose served by market access commitments negotiated in the World Trade Organization. We find broad support for the terms-of-trade theory in the data. We claim more tentatively to find support in the data for the commitment theory as well.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 12727.

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Date of creation: Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12727

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order; Noneconomic International Organizations;; Economic Integration and Globalization: General
F1 - International Economics - - Trade
F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
F5 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy
F51 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
F53 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
F59 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy - - - Other

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  1. Pol Antràs & Robert W. Staiger, 2008. "Offshoring and the Role of Trade Agreements," NBER Working Papers 14285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Guriev, Sergei & Yakovlev, Evgeny & Zhuravskaya, Ekaterina, 2008. "Interest Group Politics in a Federation," CEPR Discussion Papers 6671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Baybars Karacaovali & Nuno Limao, 2008. "The Clash of Liberalizations: Preferential versus Multilateral Trade Liberalization in the European Union," Fordham Economics Discussion Paper Series dp2008-02, Fordham University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Paolo Epifani & Gino Gancia, 2008. "Openness, Government Size and the Terms of Trade," IEW - Working Papers iewwp359, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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