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A Note on the Time-Elimination Method For Solving Recursive Dynamic Economic Models

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Casey B. Mulligan
Xavier Sala-i-Martin

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Abstract

The Time-Elimination Method for solving recursive dynamic economic models is described. By defining control-like and state-like variables, one can transform the equations of motion describing the economy's evolution through time into a system of differential equations that are independent of time. Unlike the transversality conditions, the boundary conditions for the system in the state-like variable are not asymptotic boundary conditions. In theory, this reformulation of the problem greatly facilitates numerical analysis. In practice, problems which were impossible to solve with a popular algorithm - shooting - can be solved in short order. The reader of this paper need not have any knowledge of numerical mathematics or dynamic programming or be able to draw high dimensional phase diagrams. only a familiarity with the first order conditions of the 'Hamiltonian' method for solving dynamic optimization problems is required. The most natural application of Time-Elimination is to growth models. The method is applied here to three growth models.: the Ramsey/Cass/Koopmans one sector model, Jones & Manuelli's(1990) variant of the Ramsey model, and a two sector growth model in the spirit of Lucas (1988). A very simple - but complete - computer program for numerically solving the Ramsey model is provided.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Technical Working Papers with number 0116.

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Date of creation: Nov 1991
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0116

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  1. Klaus Wälde, 1996. "Proof of global stability, transitional dynamics, and international capital flows in a two-country model of innovation and growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 53-84, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Trimborn, Timo, 2007. "Anticipated Shocks in Continuous-time Optimization Models: Theoretical Investigation and Numerical Solution," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-363, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gordon Schmidt, 1997. "Dynamic Analysis of a 'Solow-Romer' Model of Endogenous Growth," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-68, Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre. [Downloadable!]
  4. Brahima Coulibaly, 2005. "Effects of financial autarky and integration: the case of the South Africa embargo," International Finance Discussion Papers 839, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  5. Sørensen, Anders, 2005. "R&D Subsidies and the Surplus Appropriability Problem," Working Papers 17-2005, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Danyang Xie, 2002. "Divergence in Economic Performance: Transitional Dynamics with Multiple Equilibria," GE, Growth, Math methods 0210002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  7. repec:bep:mactop:v:6:y:2006:i:2:p:1346-1346 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Casey B. Mulligan & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1992. "Transitional Dynamics in Two-Sector Models of Endogenous Growth," NBER Working Papers 3986, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Dirk Bethmann, 2004. "Transitional Dynamics in the Uzawa-Lucas Model of Endogenous Growth," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_014, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade. [Downloadable!]
  10. Martin Brunner & Holger Strulik, 1997. "Efficient Techniques to Analyze Transitional Dynamics in Models of Economic Growth," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 19702, Hamburg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. H Issa, 2003. "Human capital, Demographic Transition and Economic Growth," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 28, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  12. Timo Trimborn & Karl-Josef Koch & Thomas Steger, 2006. "Multi-Dimensional Transitional Dynamics: A Simple Numberical Procedure," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Privileggi, Fabio, 2008. "On the transition dynamics in endogenous recombinant growth models," P.O.L.I.S. department's Working Papers 120, Department of Public Policy and Public Choice - POLIS. [Downloadable!]
  14. Thorsten Wichmann, 1995. "Food Consumption and Growth in a Two Sector Economy - A Theoretical Model and Numerical Simulations," Berlecon Research Papers 0001, Berlecon Research. [Downloadable!]
  15. Skripnitchenko, Anatoliy & Abbott, Philip, 2003. "Preferential Trade Arrangements In Apparel Exports From The Caribbean To The U.S.: A Dynamic Investment Approach," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 21977, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  16. Klaus Waelde, 1994. "Transitional dynamics, convergence and international capital flows in two-country models of innovation and growth," International Trade 9403002, EconWPA, revised 06 Apr 1994. [Downloadable!]
  17. Holger Strulik & Martin Brunner, 2001. "A Simple and Intuitive Method to Solve Small Rational Expectations Models," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20106, Hamburg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  18. Kraay, Aart & Raddatz, Claudio, 2005. "Poverty traps, aid, and growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3631, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Christiane Nickel & Philipp Rother & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2008. "Population ageing and public pension reforms in a small open economy," Working Paper Series 863, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  20. Jaime Alonso-Carrera, 2001. "More on the dynamics in the endogenous growth model with human capital," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 25(3), pages 561-583, September. [Downloadable!]
  21. repec:bep:maccon:v:6:y:2006:i:1:p:1356-1356 is not listed on IDEAS
  22. Martin Brunner & Holger Strulik, 1998. "Solution of Perfect Foresight Saddlepoint Problems: A Simple Method and Applications," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 19805, Hamburg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  23. Sjögren, Anna, 1998. "Human Capital, R&D and Economic Growth," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 238, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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