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Can Ten do it Better? Impact of Red Card in the English Premier League

Author

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  • Chowdhury, Abdur

    (Department of Economics Marquette University)

Abstract

After penalties and goals, red cards are the next most significant event that can impact the outcome of a soccer (football) game. Using data from the English Premier League, this paper statistically analyzes the impact of whether a sending-off of a player actually turns out to be a punishment for the penalized team, or if - as a popular soccer myth states – penalized teams perform better than they would have performed, had they not received a red card. The results show that the sending-offs negatively affect the performance of the penalized team, no matter when the sending-off occurs. Getting a red card doesn’t increase the perceived pressure on the remaining players inducing higher effort levels. This is true for both the home and the visiting teams. It contradicts the repeated soccer cliché that playing against ten men is more difficult than eleven.

Suggested Citation

  • Chowdhury, Abdur, 2015. "Can Ten do it Better? Impact of Red Card in the English Premier League," Working Papers and Research 2015-01, Marquette University, Center for Global and Economic Studies and Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mrq:wpaper:2015-01
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    File URL: http://epublications.marquette.edu/econ_workingpapers/48
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    Cited by:

    1. Llorenç Badiella & Pedro Puig & Carlos Lago-Peñas & Martí Casals, 2023. "Influence of Red and Yellow cards on team performance in elite soccer," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(1), pages 149-165, June.
    2. De Meyere, Arne & Vanruymbeke, Ward & Baert, Stijn, 2018. "Player Dismissal and Full Time Results in the UEFA Champions League and Europa League," IZA Discussion Papers 11722, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    soccer; red card; English premier league;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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