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Eine empirische Analyse der Geburtenentwicklung in den neuen Bundesländern

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  • Lechner, Michael

Abstract

Mit der deutschen Vereinigung war ein massiver Einbruch der Geburtenzahlen in den neuen Bundesländern (NBL) verbunden. Diese Arbeit analysiert zum einen mit dem theoretischen Rahmen der neoklassischen Bevölkerungsökonomie die Incentivewirkungen der Institutionen, die vor und nach der Vereiningung in den NBL anzutreffen waren. Zum anderen wird im empirischen Teil mit Kohortendaten des Statistischen Bundesamts und den Individualdaten des Sozioökonomischen Panels die Bedeutung der möglichen Erklärungen analysiert. Nahezu alle verfügbare Evidenz spricht für eine Interpretation des Geburtenrückgangs als Anpassungsprozess an das westliche Fertilitätsmuster, das vor allem durch wesentlich spätere Geburten im Lebenszyklus einer Frau gekennzeichnet ist.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institut fuer Volkswirtschaftslehre und Statistik, Abteilung fuer Volkswirtschaftslehre in its series Discussion Papers with number 551.

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Date of creation: 1997
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Handle: RePEc:mnh:vpaper:1052

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Cited by:
  1. Bonin, Holger & Euwals, Rob, 2002. "Participation Behaviour of East German Women After German Unification," CEPR Discussion Papers 3201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Sumon Kumar Bhaumik & Jeffrey B. Nugent, 2005. "Does Economic Uncertainty Affect the Decision to Bear Children? Evidence from East and West Germany," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp788, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  3. Wichert, Laura & Wilke, Ralf A., 2005. "Application of a simple nonparametric conditional quantile function estimator in unemployment duration analysis," ZEW Discussion Papers 05-67, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.

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