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Estimating a credit gap for non-financial corporations in Malta

Author

Listed:
  • Brian Micallef

    (Central Bank of Malta)

Abstract

This paper documents two approaches that are used to estimate a credit gap, defined as the difference between actual developments in credit to non-financial corporations (NFCs) in Malta and a hypothetical path that would have been realised had the past historical relationships over the period 1995-2011 were to be maintained over the period 2012-2014. Both methods suggest that a credit gap emerged in 2012, which widened significantly in 2013 and 2014. As at 2014Q3, the credit gap is estimated between €680 and €830 million. In addition, the two approaches indicate that the credit gap will widen further over 2015-2016.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian Micallef, "undated". "Estimating a credit gap for non-financial corporations in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2015, Central Bank of Malta.
  • Handle: RePEc:mlt:wpaper:0415
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    File URL: https://www.centralbankmalta.org/file.aspx?f=11219
    File Function: First version, 2015
    Download Restriction: no
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    Cited by:

    1. Borg Ian & Micallef Brian, 2018. "Constructing a Financial Condition Index for a Small-Open Economy: The Case of Malta," Research in Applied Economics, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(3), pages 89-105, September.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General

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