Measuring State-Dependent Risk Aversion Using Data Augmentation
AbstractWe propose a continuous-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model in which the representative agent's preferences display state-dependent risk aversion. Since fluctuations in marginal utility can be ascribed to variations in levels of risk aversion as well as in levels of consumption, we obtain a valuation equation in which the vector of excess returns on equity reflects both consumption risk as well as the risk associated with variations in the state variables. We develop a simple model that can be estimated without specifying the functional form linking risk aversion with wealth and state variables. Our estimates are based on a Bayesian analysis of exact discrete-time parametrisations for continuous-time processes. Since consumption risk is not forced to account for the entire risk premium, our results contrast sharply with estimates from models in which risk aversion is state- independent. We find that relaxing fixed risk preferences yields estimates for relative risk aversion that are centered at 0.9 and are highly counter-cyclical, i.e. decreasing in unanticipated shocks to consumption.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Université Laval - Département d'économique in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 9507.
Date of creation: 1995
Date of revision:
Other versions of this item:
- Gordon, S. & St-Amour, P., 1995. "Measuring State-Dependent Risk Aversion Using Data Augmentation," Papers 9507, Laval - Recherche en Politique Economique.
- NEP-ALL-1998-05-25 (All new papers)
- NEP-ECM-1998-05-25 (Econometrics)
- NEP-MIC-1998-05-25 (Microeconomics)
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