Imperfect Knowledge, Asset Price Swings and Structural Slumps: A Cointegrated VAR Analysis of Their Interdependence
AbstractThis paper is an empirically based discussion of interactions between speculative behavior in the currency markets and aggregate fluctuations in the real economy. It builds on the recent theory of Imperfect Knowledge Economics in Frydman and Goldberg (2007) and combines this with the Structural Slumps theory in Phelps (1994). The paper argues that this is likely to imcrease our understanding of the long recurrent spells of high unemployment that continue to mar our economies.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 10-31.
Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2010
Date of revision:
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financial markets; speculation; long swings; imperfect knowledge; CVAR;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-11-13 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2010-11-13 (Central Banking)
- NEP-KNM-2010-11-13 (Knowledge Management & Knowledge Economy)
- NEP-MAC-2010-11-13 (Macroeconomics)
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