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Inflation, Money Growth, and I(2) Analysis

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Author Info
Katarina Juselius (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

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Abstract

The paper discusses the dynamics of inflation and money growth in a stochastic framework, allowing for double unit roots in the nominal variables. It gives some examples of typical I(2) ’symptoms’ in empirical I(1) models and provides both a nontechnical and a technical discussion of the basic differences between the I(1) and the I(2) model. The notion of long-run and medium-run price homogeneity is discussed in terms of testable restrictions on the I(2) model. The Brazilian high inflation period of 1977:1-1985:5 illustrates the applicability of the I(2) model and its usefulness to address questions related to inflation dynamics.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 04-31.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2004
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Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0431

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Related research
Keywords: cointegrated VAR; price homogeneity; Cagan model; hyper inflation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Juselius, Katarina, 1999. "Models and Relations in Economics and Econometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 259-90, July.
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  2. Johansen, S., 1991. "A Statistical Analsysis of Cointegration for I(2) Variables," Papers 77, Helsinki - Department of Economics.
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  3. Salemi, Michael K & Sargent, Thomas J, 1979. "The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(3), pages 741-58, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. repec:cup:etheor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:188-202 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Paruolo, Paolo, 1996. "On the determination of integration indices in I(2) systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 313-356. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Katarina Juselius & Zorica Mladenovic, 2002. "High Inflation, Hyperinflation and Explosive Roots. The Case of Yugoslavia," Discussion Papers 02-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Wilson Luiz Rotatori, 2006. "Dynamic Structural Models And The High Inflation Period In Brazil: Modelling The Monetary System," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 44, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
  2. Andrés González & Luis Fernando Melo & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2006. "Inflación y dinero en Colombia: otro modelo P-estrella," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002851, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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