The Permanent Effect of Domestic Income on the Growth of Governments
AbstractWe empirically model the growth of the Italian government on a long historical dataset, starting from the country's unification. Our findings point to the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product and government spending, that is robust to different specifications of the government growth equation and to different levels of government. The estimated income elasticities of government spending present a clear pattern of growth and decline, suggesting the existence of possible cycles in the growth of government. The estimated speed of adjustment of government spending is rather slow, especially in the case of local expenditure, pointing to administrative rigidities.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Economic Research, Keele University in its series Keele Economics Research Papers with number KERP 2006/19.
Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2006
Date of revision:
Note: I would like to thank for useful suggestions and remarks the participants at the International Conference on Policy Modelling for European and Global Issues, taking place in Brussels, and the New Economic Windows conference, taking place at the University of Salerno. Any remaining errors are mine.
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Postal: Centre for Economic Research, Research Institute for Public Policy and Management, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG - United Kingdom
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
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