The growth of governments has traditionally been modelled within a welfare-driven context, where citizens/taxpayers increase their demand for publicly-provided goods and services in response to economic growth. However, the underlying linear approach does not consider the crisis intervention function of government spending that increases following contractions, rather than expansions, in domestic income. Our results point to a consistent counter-cyclical use of non-systematic government consumption expenditure.We also provide evidence of an upward bias in both discretionary and non-systematic government spending that can help explain the relevant growth of the Italian public sector.
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Paper provided by Centre for Economic Research, Keele University in its series Keele Economics Research Papers with number
KERP 2005/03.
Length: 15 pages Date of creation: Mar 2005 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:kee:kerpuk:2005/03
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
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