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Estimativas Trimestrais das Transferências Públicas de Assistência e Previdência no Brasil no Período 1995 - 2012

Author

Listed:
  • Cláudio Hamilton M. dos Santos
  • Raphael Rocha Gouvea
  • Ésio Moreira Leal
  • Isabela D´Loan Silva Leão

Abstract

É difícil exagerar a importância das transferências (públicas) de assistência e previdência social (TAPS) no Brasil atual, quando estas atingiram cerca de 15% do produto interno bruto (PIB) ao longo da última década. Poucos estudos, entretanto, analisam sua dinâmica de forma conjunta. Este trabalho cobjetiva preencher lacunas de três diferentes maneiras. Primeiro, pela construção de uma série anual compatível com o Sistema de Contas Nacionais (SCN) brasileiras – referência 2000 no período 1995- 2012. Segundo, aperfeiçoa e estende o esforço de Santos, Macedo e Silva e Ribeiro (2010) na construção de estimativas trimestrais agregadas e por componentes dessas transferências. Finalmente, analisa-se o comportamento dessa variável no período. It is difficult to exaggerate the macroeconomic and political relevance of the public transfers to the private sector in the Brazilian economy. These transfers have reached 15% of GPD in the last decade. However, there are just a few papers analyzing the evolution of these transfers. Given that, this paper has three main goals. First, to show how to construct an annual series compatible with the Brazilian national accounts system (ref. 2000) over the period 1995-2012 . Second, to refine and extend (up until 2012) the previous effort of Santos, Macedo e Silva and Ribeiro (2010). Finally, we provide a short analysis of the numbers estimated for the aforementioned transfers.

Suggested Citation

  • Cláudio Hamilton M. dos Santos & Raphael Rocha Gouvea & Ésio Moreira Leal & Isabela D´Loan Silva Leão, 2014. "Estimativas Trimestrais das Transferências Públicas de Assistência e Previdência no Brasil no Período 1995 - 2012," Discussion Papers 1991, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1991
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