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Capital Flow Data – A Guide for Empirical Analysis and Real-time Tracking

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Robin Koepke
  • Simon Paetzold

Abstract

This paper provides an analytical overview of the most widely used capital flow datasets. The paper is written as a guide for academics who embark on empirical research projects and for policymakers who need timely information on capital flow developments to inform their decisions. We address common misconceptions about capital flow data and discuss differences between high-frequency proxies for portfolio flows. In a nowcasting “horse race” we show that high-frequency proxies have significant predictive content for portfolio flows from the balance of payments (BoP). We also construct a new dataset for academic use, consisting of monthly portfolio flows broadly consistent with BoP data.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Robin Koepke & Simon Paetzold, 2020. "Capital Flow Data – A Guide for Empirical Analysis and Real-time Tracking," IMF Working Papers 2020/171, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/171
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sigga Benediktsdottir & Soha Ahmed, 2023. "Interest Rate Normalization in a World with High Indebtedness," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 39-63, March.
    2. Richard Schmidt & Pinar Yesin, 2022. "The growing importance of investment funds in capital flows," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 72(01), pages 1-40, December.
    3. Goswami, Mangal & Pontines, Victor & Mohammed, Yassier, 2023. "Portfolio capital flows and the US dollar exchange rate: Viewed from the lens of time and frequency dynamics of connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Bettendorf, Timo & Karadimitropoulou, Aikaterini, 2023. "Time-variation in the effects of push and pull factors on portfolio flows: Evidence from a Bayesian dynamic factor model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Santiago Camara & Sebastian Ramirez Venegas, 2022. "The Transmission of US Monetary Policy Shocks: The Role of Investment & Financial Heterogeneity," Papers 2209.11150, arXiv.org.
    6. Santiago Camara, 2021. "Spillovers of US Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2111.08631, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    7. Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio & Arango-Lozano, Lucía & Castelblanco, Geraldine & Fajardo-Baquero, Nicolás & Ruiz-Sánchez, María Alejandra, 2022. "The effects of Monetary Policy on Capital Flows A Meta-Analysis," Working papers 93, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    8. Stefan Goldbach & Volker Nitsch, 2022. "Covid-19 and Capital Flows: The Responses of Investors to the Responses of Governments," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 751-774, September.
    9. Alba Carlos & Cuadra Gabriel & Hernández Juan R. & Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "Capital Flows to Emerging Economies and Global Risk Aversion during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 2021-17, Banco de México.
    10. Annamaria de Crescenzio & Etienne Lepers, 2021. "Extreme capital flow episodes from the Global Financial Crisis to COVID-19: An exploration with monthly data," OECD Working Papers on International Investment 2021/05, OECD Publishing.
    11. Cerdeiro, Diego A. & Komaromi, Andras, 2021. "Financial openness and capital inflows to emerging markets: In search of robust evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 444-458.
    12. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif & Furceri, Davide & Gonzalez Dominguez, Pablo & Ostry, Jonathan & Peiris, Shanaka, 2022. "Spillovers from US Monetary Shocks: Role of Policy Drivers and Cyclical Conditions," ADBI Working Papers 1317, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    13. Santiago Camara, 2021. "US Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: Information effects & Financial Flows," Papers 2108.01026, arXiv.org.
    14. Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani & Filippo Natoli, 2023. "Flight to climatic safety: local natural disasters and global portfolio flows," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1420, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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