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Assessing Systemic Trade Interconnectedness: An Empirical Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Alexander Massara
  • Mr. Luca Errico

Abstract

The paper focuses on systemically important jurisdictions in the global trade network, complementing recent IMF work on systemically important financial sectors. Using the IMF's Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) database and network analysis, the paper develops a framework for ranking jurisdictions based on trade size and trade interconnectedness indicators using data for 2000 and 2010. The results show a near perfect overlap between the top 25 systemically important trade and financial jurisdictions, suggesting that these ought to be the focus of risk-based surveillance on cross-border spillovers and contagion. In addition, a number of extensions to the approach are developed that can provide a better understanding of trade dynamics at the bilateral, regional, and global levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Alexander Massara & Mr. Luca Errico, 2011. "Assessing Systemic Trade Interconnectedness: An Empirical Approach," IMF Working Papers 2011/214, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/214
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    Cited by:

    1. Eswar S. Prasad & Lei Ye, 2011. "The renminbi’s role in the global monetary system," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov, pages 127-197.

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