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Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions: The Case of Ireland

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  • Mr. Daniel S Kanda

Abstract

Asset booms and sectoral changes can distort traditional estimates of structural fiscal revenue, and could lead to serious fiscal policy errors. This paper extends the estimation of structural revenues to take account of asset prices and sectoral changes, and applies this to the case of Ireland, where a property bust has revealed a large hole in the public finances. It is shown that excluding these factors led to a substantial bias in the estimation of structural revenues, and the structural balance prior to the crisis was much larger than earlier estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Daniel S Kanda, 2010. "Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions: The Case of Ireland," IMF Working Papers 2010/057, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/057
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kai Liu, 2014. "Public Finances, Business Cycles and Structural Fiscal Balances," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1411, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Miss Estelle X Liu & Mr. Todd D. Mattina & Mr. Tigran Poghosyan, 2015. "Correcting “Beyond the Cycle": Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances," IMF Working Papers 2015/109, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Mező, Júlia & Udvari, Beáta, 2012. "Effects of the debt crisis on the EU-China relations," MPRA Paper 40367, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bergljot Barkbu & Barry Eichengreen & Ashoka Mody, 2011. "International Financial Crises and the Multilateral Response: What the Historical Record Shows," NBER Working Papers 17361, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Roumeen Islam, 2017. "Growth after Crisis in Europe: An Interdependence of Macroeconomic and Structural Policies," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 11(2), pages 19-62, December.
    6. Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrénot & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2012. "Adjusting the U.S. Fiscal Policy for Asset Prices: Evidence from a TVP-MS Framework," NIPE Working Papers 20/2012, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    7. Agnello, Luca & Dufrénot, Gilles & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 25-36.
    8. Liu, Kai & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2015. "Short- and Long-Run Fiscal Elasticities: International Evidence," MPRA Paper 65950, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Bosnia and Herzegovina: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2010/347, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Paul Kilgarriff & Cathal ODonoghue & Martin Charlton & Ronan Foley, 2016. "Intertemporal Income in Ireland 1996-2011 A Spatial Analysis," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 9(2), pages 123-143.

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