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Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets

Author

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  • Mr. Peter Cornelius

Abstract

This paper examines whether the six largest and most active emerging stock markets are informationally efficient with respect to changes in the money supply. To investigate if stock prices fully reflect the information contained in money supply changes, two different econometric techniques are employed. First, direct Granger-causality tests are used, which locus on the short-run relationship between stock prices and money. Second, the long-run behavior of the two variables is studied by means of co-integration tests. The results suggest that at least for two markets profitable trading rules can be developed to earn consistently higher-than-normal rates of return.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Peter Cornelius, 1991. "Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets," IMF Working Papers 1991/027, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1991/027
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ercan Balaban & Kursat Kunter, 1997. "A note on the efficiency of financial markets in a developing country," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 109-112.
    2. Shuhong Kong & Majid Taghavi, 2006. "The Effect of Annual Earnings Announcements on the Chinese Stock Markets," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 12(3), pages 318-326, August.
    3. Ercan Balaban & Kursat Kunter, 1996. "Financial Market Efficiency in a Developing Economy : The Turkish Case," Discussion Papers 9611, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    4. repec:kap:iaecre:v:12:y:2006:i:3:p:318-326 is not listed on IDEAS

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