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France: 2020 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

France is among the countries most affected by the global pandemic, both in terms of health and economic impact. Output is expected to have declined by around 9 percent in 2020. The authorities put in place a large emergency fiscal package to address the crisis, focused on preserving jobs and providing liquidity for households and firms, supplemented by additional stimulus measures to support the economic recovery in 2021 and beyond. The banking sector entered the crisis with comfortable buffers and, together with the support of the ECB’s accommodative monetary policy, facilitated the provision of credit to the economy. The increased leverage, however, poses solvency risks to the corporate sector. A partial recovery with GDP growth at about 5½ percent is expected in 2021. Risks to the outlook are large, dominated by the virus dynamics and, together with other risks, tilted somewhat to the downside.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2021. "France: 2020 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France," IMF Staff Country Reports 2021/015, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfscr:2021/015
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    Keywords

    ISCR; CR; Banque de France; COVID infection; HCSF recommendation; repayment moratoria; growth outlook;
    All these keywords.

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