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Rarely pure and never simple: extracting the truth from self-reported data on substance use

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Author Info
Stephen Pudney () (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Institute for Social and Economic Research)

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Abstract

We consider the misreporting of illicit drug use and juvenile smoking in self-report surveys and its consequences for statistical inference. Panel data containing repeated self-reports of 'lifetime' prevalence give unambiguous evidence of misreporting as 'recanting' of earlier reports of drug use. The identification of true initiation and reporting processes from such data is problematic in short panels, whilst more secure identification is possible in panels with at least five waves. Nevertheless, evidence from three UK datasets clearly indicates serious underreporting of cannabis, cocaine and tobacco use by young people, with consequent large biases in statistical modelling.

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File URL: http://cemmap.ifs.org.uk/wps/cwp1107.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies in its series CeMMAP working papers with number CWP11/07.

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Date of creation: May 2007
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Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:11/07

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
I19 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Other

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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