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Ciklicki prilagodeni proracunski saldo: primjer Hrvatske

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Author Info
Sandra Svaljek () (The Institute of Economics, Zagreb)
Maruska Vizek () (The Institute of Economics, Zagreb)
Andrea Mervar () (The Institute of Economics, Zagreb)

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Abstract

Cyclically adjusted government budget balance has often been used in the evaluation of fiscal stance. It indicates how much room fiscal authorities have to act anticyclically. The main idea is to separate temporary (cyclical) effects on the budget from those caused by discretionary measures of fiscal authorities. In this paper, after reviewing the concept, its applications and various methodological approaches, the size of cyclically adjusted budget balance is estimated in the case of Croatia for the period 1995:1q-2008:3q. Thereby, the ECB methodology is implemented and it is assumed that cyclically sensitive budget elements include income tax, profit tax, VAT, excise duties, social security contributions and unemployment benefits. The elasticities of cyclically sensitive budget components, with respect to their macroeconomic bases, are calculated with an error-correction model. The results of the exercise indicate that both periods of pro- and anticyclical fiscal policies have been present in the analyzed period with the restrictive and procyclical policy prevailing in the recent years.

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Paper provided by The Institute of Economics, Zagreb in its series Working Papers with number 0901.

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Length: 52 pages
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Handle: RePEc:iez:wpaper:0901

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Related research
Keywords: fiscal policy; government budget; cyclical adjustment; Croatia;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.

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