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Green Transition Risks On Export Competitiveness: Circular Economy Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Arnita Rishanty

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Maxensius Tri Sambodo

    (Badan Riset dan Inovasi Nasional)

  • Retno Puspita K. Wicaksono

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

Transition risks include market and reputational risks, if materialized, can result in loss of markets. This study pictures the dynamics of potential export market movement and transition as the consumer preference for green products grows globally. We find that the export market for Indonesia’s superior commodities increased due to past global growth and past increase in global demand for particular products, while still lacking in real product competitiveness. Under the scenario that illustrates the green agenda only arise mostly from developed countries and still limited from developing countries, it is estimated that the export market transition towards the new balance would find an equilibrium. Subsequently, this study exploratively discusses undergoing efforts in the exporting industry to make a green transition. We elaborate opportunities and challenges to circular economy adoption for the exporting industry. It is suggested for Indonesia' s trade diplomacy to not only maintaining market position in traditional markets, but also in seizing non-traditional markets, including markets that reject Indonesian products by improving the competitiveness of Indonesia's export products via circular economy adoption.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnita Rishanty & Maxensius Tri Sambodo & Retno Puspita K. Wicaksono, 2022. "Green Transition Risks On Export Competitiveness: Circular Economy Approach," Working Papers WP/14/2022, Bank Indonesia.
  • Handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp142022
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Circular economy; Markov Model; competitiveness; green taxonomy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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