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Time Series Modelling of Daily Metical/Rand Exchange Rate Returns, 1996-2014

Author

Listed:
  • Brännäs, Kurt

    (Department of Economics, Umeå School of Business and Economics)

  • Machava, Agostinho

    (CEEG, Faculty of Economics)

Abstract

This paper models daily returns of the exchange rate between the Mozambican Metical (MZN) and the South African Rand (ZAR) over the past 18 years. The results indicate that returns and volatility responses to shocks are asymmetric. They also indicate that the effects of shocks are relatively short lived for the returns and that they are quite persistent for volatility. There is also a tentative discussion and some results about exchange rate returns in the non-bank sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Brännäs, Kurt & Machava, Agostinho, 2015. "Time Series Modelling of Daily Metical/Rand Exchange Rate Returns, 1996-2014," Umeå Economic Studies 909, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:umnees:0909
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    MZN; ZAR; Asymmetry; Nonlinearity; Conditional heteroskedasticity; Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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