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Simultaneity and Asymmetry of Returns and Volatilities in the Emerging Baltic State Stock Exchanges

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Author Info
Brännäs, Kurt () (Department of Economics, Umeå University)
G De Gooijer, Jan () (Department of Quantitative Economics)
Lönnbark, Carl () (Department of Economics, Umeå University)
Soultanaeva, Albina () (Department of Economics, Umeå University)

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Abstract

The paper suggests a nonlinear and multivariate time series model framework that enables the study of simultaneity in returns and in volatilities, as well as asymmetric effects arising from shocks and an outside stock exchange. Using daily data 2000-2006 for the Baltic state stock exchanges and that of Moscow we find recursive structures with Riga directly depending in returns on Tallinn and Vilnius, and Tallinn on Vilnius. For volatilities both Riga and Vilnius depend on Tallinn. In addition, we find evidence of asymmetric effects arising in Moscow and in Baltic state shocks on both returns and volatilities.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Umeå University, Department of Economics in its series Umeå Economic Studies with number 725.

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Length: 19 pages
Date of creation: 16 Nov 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:umnees:0725

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Postal: Department of Economics, Umeå University, S-901 87 Umeå, Sweden
Phone: 090 - 786 61 42
Fax: 090 - 77 23 02
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Web page: http://www.econ.umu.se/
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Related research
Keywords: Time series; nonlinear; multivariate; finance; value at risk; portfolio allocation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-30.

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