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Why 1990 international Geary-Khamis dollars cannot be a foundation for reliable long run comparisons of GDP

Author

Listed:
  • Brunt, Liam

    (Dept. of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)

  • Fidalgo, Antonio

    (Fresenius University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

Using a large, new dataset of agricultural prices and quantities for many countries and regions, we create five new international Geary-Khamis pounds – for 1870, 1845, 1775, 1705, and a superior chained series. We show that estimated levels and changes in output per worker look very different – more extreme – using 1705 international pounds and 1990 international dollars, compared to all other series; growth rates appear substantially higher using 1990 international dollars. In short, out-of-sample baskets and/or prices create extremely unreliable output estimates. We also show that individual country price indices (rather than international indices) can generate substantially different estimated growth rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Brunt, Liam & Fidalgo, Antonio, 2018. "Why 1990 international Geary-Khamis dollars cannot be a foundation for reliable long run comparisons of GDP," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 25/2018, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:nhheco:2018_025
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Geary-Khamis prices; economic growth; international comparisons; price indices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • N50 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - General, International, or Comparative

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