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Smooth transitions in a UK consumption function

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Author Info
Eliasson, Ann-Charlotte (Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics)
Abstract

This paper reconsiders the equilibrium correction model of nondurable consumption in the UK by Davidson et al. (1978), denoted DHSY. The DHSY model fails outside the original observation period and several studies claim that this is due to neglected nonlinearities or time-varying parameters. This paper will take both features into account simultaneously by using the methodology of smooth transition regressions (STR). The study is performed both for the original sample and for an extended one. It turns out that nonlinearities are present in both samples when keeping the original model specification. The resulting consumption functions are characterised by time-varying parameters rather than nonlinear relationships between the explanatory variables. The estimated nonlinear models encompass, and dominate in variance, their linear equivalents for each sample.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Stockholm School of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance with number 328.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 25 Aug 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0328

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Postal: The Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden
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Related research
Keywords: DHSY dynamic model econometric model building encompassing parameter constancy smooth transition regression

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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  1. Jürgen Arns & Kaushik Bhattacharya, 2005. "Modelling Aggregate Consumption Growth with Time-Varying Parameters," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse15_2005, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-9-1.


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