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Optimal Sequential Surveillance for Finance, Public Health, and Other Areas

Author

Listed:
  • Frisén, Marianne

    (Statistical Research Unit, Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University)

Abstract

The aim of sequential surveillance is on-line detection of an important change in an underlying process as soon as possible after the change has occurred. Statistical methods suitable for surveillance differ from hypothesis testing methods. In addition, the criteria for optimality differ from those used in hypothesis testing. The need for sequential surveillance in industry, economics, medicine and for environmental purposes is described. Even though the methods have been developed under different scientific cultures, inferential similarities can be identified. Applications contain complexities such as autocorrelations, complex distributions, complex types of changes, and spatial as well as other multivariate settings. Approaches to handling these complexities are discussed. Expressing methods for surveillance through likelihood functions makes it possible to link the methods to various optimality criteria. This approach also facilitates the choice of an optimal surveillance method for each specific application and provides some directions for improving earlier suggested methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Frisén, Marianne, 2007. "Optimal Sequential Surveillance for Finance, Public Health, and Other Areas," Research Reports 2007:2, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunsru:2007_002
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andersson, Eva & Bock, David & Frisén, Marianne, 2007. "Modeling influenza incidence for the purpose of on-line monitoring," Research Reports 2007:5, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
    2. Andersson, Eva & Kühlmann-Berenzon, Sharon & Linde, Annika & Schiöler, Linus & Rubinova, Sandra & Frisén, Marianne, 2007. "Predictions by early indicators of the time and height of yearly influenza outbreaks in Sweden," Research Reports 2007:7, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
    3. Verdier, Ghislain & Hilgert, Nadine & Vila, Jean-Pierre, 2008. "Adaptive threshold computation for CUSUM-type procedures in change detection and isolation problems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(9), pages 4161-4174, May.
    4. Bock, David & Andersson, Eva & Frisén, Marianne, 2007. "Statistical Surveillance of Epidemics: Peak Detection of Influenza in Sweden," Research Reports 2007:6, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
    5. Bock, David & Pettersson, Kjell, 2007. "Explorative analysis of spatial aspects on the Swedish influenza data," Research Reports 2007:10, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
    6. Bock, David, 2007. "Evaluations of likelihood based surveillance of volatility," Research Reports 2007:9, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
    7. Bock, David & Andersson, Eva & Frisén, Marianne, 2007. "Similarities and differences between statistical surveillance and certain decision rules in finance," Research Reports 2007:8, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Change point; Likelihood ratio; Monitoring; Multivariate surveillance; Minimum expected delay; Online detection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

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