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An agroecological Europe by 2050: What impact on land use, trade and global food security?

Author

Listed:
  • Michele Schiavo

    (IDDRI - Institut du Développement Durable et des Relations Internationales - Institut d'Études Politiques [IEP] - Paris)

  • Chantal Le Mouël

    (SMART-LERECO - Structures et Marché Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - INSTITUT AGRO Agrocampus Ouest - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)

  • Xavier Poux

    (IDDRI - Institut du Développement Durable et des Relations Internationales - Institut d'Études Politiques [IEP] - Paris)

  • Pierre Marie Aubert

    (IDDRI - Institut du Développement Durable et des Relations Internationales - Institut d'Études Politiques [IEP] - Paris)

Abstract

This report presents the key results of a research that analysed the implications of an ambitious agroecological transition across Europe, following the TYFA scenario (scenario Ten Years For Agroecology proposed by IDDRI in 2018). While this scenario was published three years ago, what it proposes by 2050 is fully aligned with the objectives that the European Farm to Fork (F2F) and Biodiversity strategies aim to achieve by 2030. Using a world biomass balance model (GlobAgri-AgT, developed for the Inra-Cirad foresight Agrimonde-Terra, 2018), the impact of the TYFA scenario in the EU on world land use, the EU physical trade balance, the provision of calories and global food security was analyzed in addition to key policy levers to spur the transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Michele Schiavo & Chantal Le Mouël & Xavier Poux & Pierre Marie Aubert, 2021. "An agroecological Europe by 2050: What impact on land use, trade and global food security?," Working Papers hal-03421017, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03421017
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    Cited by:

    1. Jayson Beckman & Maros Ivanic & Jeremy Jelliffe & Shawn Arita, 2022. "Adopt or not adopt? Mirror clauses and the European Green Deal," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(4), pages 2014-2033, December.
    2. Tanita Northcott & Mark Lawrence & Christine Parker & Phillip Baker, 2023. "Ecological regulation for healthy and sustainable food systems: responding to the global rise of ultra-processed foods," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 40(3), pages 1333-1358, September.

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