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Minskyan classical growth cycles: stability analysis of a stock-flow consistent macrodynamic model

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Bastidas

    (UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

  • Adrien Fabre

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Florent Mc Isaac

    (AFD - Agence française de développement)

Abstract

This paper follows van der Ploeg (Metroeconomica 37(2):221–230, 1985)'s research program in testing both its extension of Goodwin (in: Feinstein (ed) Socialism, capitalism and economic growth, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 4, 54–58, 1967) predator–prey model and the Minsky Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH) proposed by Keen (J Post Keynes Econ 17(4):607–635, 1995). By endowing the production sector with CES technology rather than Leontief, van der Ploeg showed that the possible substitution between capital and labor transforms the close orbit into a stable focus. Furthermore, Keen (1995)'s model relaxed the assumption that profit is equal to investment by introducing a nonlinear investment function. His aim was to incorporate Minsky's insights concerning the role of debt finance. The primary goal of this paper is to incorporate additional properties, inspired by van der Ploeg's framework, into Keen's model. Additionally, we outline possibilities for production technology that could be considered within this research program. Using numerical techniques, we show that our new model keeps the desirable properties of Keen's model. However, we also demonstrate that when the economy is endowed with a class of CES production function that includes the Cobb–Douglas and the linear technology as limit cases, the unique stable equilibrium is an economically desirable one. Finally, we propose a modified extension that includes speculative component in the economy as in Grasselli and Costa-Lima (Math Financ Econ 6(3):191–210, 2012) and investigate its effect on the dynamics. We conclude that CES production function is a more suitable assumption for empirical purposes than the Leontief counterpart. Finally, we show, using numerical simulations, that under plausible calibration, the model endowed with CES production function eventually lose the cyclical property of Goodwin's model with and without the speculative component.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Bastidas & Adrien Fabre & Florent Mc Isaac, 2019. "Minskyan classical growth cycles: stability analysis of a stock-flow consistent macrodynamic model," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02117613, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-02117613
    DOI: 10.1007/s11579-018-0231-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04139954, HAL.
    2. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Working Papers hal-04139954, HAL.
    3. Emmanuel Bovari & Gaël Giraud & Florent McIsaac, 2018. "Carbon Pricing and Global Warming: A Stock-flow Consistent Macro-dynamic Approach," Working Paper 0a6be926-7c78-4aba-a60b-6, Agence française de développement.

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