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Theories of cycles and prospects of fertility in France
[Les théories des cycles et les perspectives de la fécondité en France]

Author

Listed:
  • Gérard-François Dumont

    (ENeC - Espaces, Nature et Culture - UP4 - Université Paris-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, MÉDIATIONS - Sciences des lieux, sciences des liens - SU - Sorbonne Université)

Abstract

In an increasingly uncertain world, rulers and their public opinion need reassurance and are seeking, more or less founded and rational, invariants. Because they anticipate the course of an evolution, the theories of cycles take the place of reducers of uncertainty. With regard to fertility, how useful are these theories of cycles? Are they predictive? Gérard-François Dumont shows that this is not the case and examines the non-cyclical fertility theories.

Suggested Citation

  • Gérard-François Dumont, 2017. "Theories of cycles and prospects of fertility in France [Les théories des cycles et les perspectives de la fécondité en France]," Post-Print halshs-01428965, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01428965
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01428965
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