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Les conséquences de la crise financière sur le commerce intra-européen

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jean-Christophe Poutineau

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Fabien Rondeau

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Cet article revient sur la manière dont la crise fi nancière de 2008 s'est transmise à la partie réelle de l'économie à travers le commerce bilatéral entre les pays membres de l'Union européenne et comment celui-ci a évolué depuis. Pour apprécier l'incidence de cette crise, nous adoptons une logique de moyen terme de 1997 à 2013 à partir d'observations annuelles des fl ux bilatéraux entre les 28 membres de l'Union. Nous distinguons notamment le comportement des marges intensive et extensive du commerce entre les Peco en fonction de leur appartenance à l'euro ou non. Les résultats révèlent des diff érences notables sur la répartition des fl ux entre marges extensive et intensive, sur leur variabilité et sur leur synchronisation, notamment entre les Peco selon qu'ils ont rejoint l'euro ou pas.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Fabien Rondeau, 2016. "Les conséquences de la crise financière sur le commerce intra-européen," Post-Print halshs-01354152, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01354152
    DOI: 10.18559/SOEP.2016.3.1
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    Cited by:

    1. Saker Sabkha & Christian De Peretti & Dorra Hmaied, 2017. "The Credit Default Swap market contagion during recent crises: International evidence," Working Papers hal-01572510, HAL.
    2. Saker Sabkha & Christian Peretti & Dorra Hmaied, 2019. "The Credit Default Swap market contagion during recent crises: international evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 1-46, July.

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