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Une maquette de moyen terme de l'économie française

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine d'Autume

    (EUREQUA - Equipe Universitaire de Recherche en Economie Quantitative - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Alain Quinet

Abstract

This paper presents a simple small-scale model of the French economy, which can be used for forecasting and assessing shocks and macroeconomic policies. We model a small open economy with fixed exchange rates and a given real interest rate. The economy has two sectors, namely tradable and non-tradable goods. Agents'behaviour is described simply and robustly, without the introduction of rational expectations and with the systematic use of error correction mechanisms. The dynamics of financial wealth are taken into account, since wealth effects naturally ensure the long-run convergence of per capita wealth and the satisfaction of solvency constraints. The short-run dynamics incorporate the Keynesian sticky price and wage elements. The model's long-run aspect is largely calibrated and the short-run dynamics are estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine d'Autume & Alain Quinet, 2001. "Une maquette de moyen terme de l'économie française," Post-Print halshs-00202027, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00202027
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    Cited by:

    1. Xavier Chojnicki & Lionel Ragot, 2016. "Impacts of Immigration on an Ageing Welfare State: An Applied General Equilibrium Model for France," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 37, pages 258-284, June.
    2. Jean Chateau, 2006. "Disparities in Pension Financing in Europe: Economic and Financial Consequences," Working Papers 2006-09, CEPII research center.

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