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Crise et déficit de l’assurance maladie

Author

Listed:
  • Gerard Cornilleau

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Thierry Debrand

    (IRDES - Institut de Recherche et Documentation en Economie de la Santé - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres)

Abstract

The deficit of health insurance, about 1 percentage point of GDP mainly results from the economic crisis which reduced social contributions. This deficit contributes to the automatic stabilization of the economy and it should disappear with the return of growth. As far as it is not returned, the voluntary reduction of the deficit, rising levies or lower spending, would be counter-cyclical and must be rejected. But part of the deficit, we evaluate between 0.35 and 0.7 percent of GDP, results from the existence of a structural gap between growth in health spending and growth in GDP. For a good long-term management of health insurance, it is necessary eliminate the structural deficit, evaluated between 1.4 and 2.8 percent of GDP in 2020 without structural evolution. Hitherto it has been contend by a combination of taxes increase and reduction of reimbursement rate. The search for a better control of expenditure founded on a change in the organization of care (more collective exercise promoting complementary medicine and alternative between professions, building of a new system integrating best the ambulatory and hospital, ...) and a reform of the modes of financing (with more per capita remuneration for the physicists) for reduce inequalities in access to care would be worth discussed in the context of discussions on the spending trend health and their financing.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerard Cornilleau & Thierry Debrand, 2011. "Crise et déficit de l’assurance maladie," Post-Print hal-03389364, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03389364
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.116.0315
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03389364
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