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An assessment of bioeconomic modeling of pest resistance with new insights into dynamic refuge fields

Author

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  • Marion Desquilbet

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - UT - Université de Toulouse - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We examine the optimal time-variant refuge policy to manage pest resistance to Bt crops in a finite-horizon discrete-time model. We identify analytically the intertemporal effects of refuge fields on the pest population and its susceptibility. The shape of the optimal refuge policy and whether or not pest susceptibility should be exhausted completely at the end of the time horizon depend crucially on the values of a cost premium of Bt seeds and the fitness cost of resistance (over-mortality of resistant pests) and are addressed via numerical simulations. We demonstrate the importance of modeling the dynamics of the biological system accurately, of defining a diploid (and not haploid) biological model, and of using a discrete-time (rather than continuous-time) framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Marion Desquilbet, 2012. "An assessment of bioeconomic modeling of pest resistance with new insights into dynamic refuge fields," Post-Print hal-02285608, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02285608
    as

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