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Financial Reforms, International Financial Flows, and Growth in Advanced Economies

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  • Catherine Guillemineau

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of financial liberalization, international capital flows, cross-border banking, as well as of monetary policy and equity prices on common economic growth. Since 1995, the largest part of real GDP growth in EU countries, Canada and the United-States has been driven by a common factor. Factor-augmented VAR estimates show that since the mid-1990s, equity prices have become by far the main driver of common growth. If common economic growth is positively related to equity prices, it has also become more vulnerable to stock markets’ downturns and more responsive to their upturns. Prior to 1995, the liberalization of domestic credit impacted negatively common economic growth and was the main source of volatility. The liberalization of capital flows and stock markets which was completed at about the same time, had an insignificant albeit negative impact on common economic growth. These results are robust to different VAR specifications. The impact of FDI and portfolio investment intensity on common growth has increased since the mid-1990s but empirical evidence on their relative importance is mitigated.

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File URL: http://www.gredeg.cnrs.fr/working-papers/GREDEG-WP-2012-09.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2013
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), University of Nice Sophia Antipolis in its series GREDEG Working Papers with number 2012-09.

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Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2012
Date of revision: Jul 2013
Handle: RePEc:gre:wpaper:2012-09

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Related research

Keywords: financial liberalization; domestic credit; financial openness; cross-border banking; equity prices; common economic growth;

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