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Currency Crises and Economic Fundamentals in Finland

Author

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  • Kajanoja, L.

Abstract

Recent currency crises in Filand are analyzed. First probit model estimations suggest that growth, unemployment, real exchange rate and contagion effects have affected the probability of a currenycy crisis. Second, empirical shadow floating exchange rates are formed using a revised version of Blanco-Garber method. This method offers structural explanations for the findings of the probit models. Also, it allows studying how the size of foreign reserves fas affected the probability of a crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Kajanoja, L., 1998. "Currency Crises and Economic Fundamentals in Finland," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 441, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:helsec:441
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    Keywords

    CURRENCIES ; SPECULATION;

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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